Integrated Assessment of Mobility Systems

The central objective of Capacity Area B2 is to evaluate the future Swiss mobility system taking into account various economic, social and sustainability criteria (energy demand, pollutant and CO2 emissions, resource depletion, costs and user preferences). This includes an environ-mental, cost and risk assessment of different technology options for individual mobility as well as for public and freight transport. These results are fed directly into an energy-economic model to analyze long-term mobility scenarios in terms of costs, CO2 emissions and energy demand and to identify technology options to meet the objectives of the Swiss energy strategy. In addition, key factors affecting mobility behavior and demand are analyzed to formulate recommendations and guidelines to promote a socio-economic transformation of the Swiss mobility system.

 

Dr. Stefan Hirschberg
Senior Advisor at Paul Scherrer Institute
(formerly Head of Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis at PSI)
stefan.hirschberg@psi.ch / 056 310 29 56

Paul Scherrer Institute PSI
Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, LEA
Dr. Stefan Hirschberg, Coordinator

ZHAW
Institut für Nachhaltige Entwicklung, INE
Dr. Merja Hoppe, Deputy Coordinator

SUPSI
Istituto sostenibilità applicata all'ambiente costruito, ISAAC
Dr. Roman Rudel

University of St. Gallen HSG
Institute for Economy and the Environment
Prof. Dr. Rolf Wüstenhagen

Drivetrain Technology & Fleet Scenario Analysis (B2.1)

  • Test of simulation framework
  • Apply results to current Swiss fleet

Transport Impact Assessment (B2.2)

  • Selection of representative performance indicators
  • Small-scale test case
  • Full indicator set for current technologies

Results    Indicators for technology performance


Energy-Economic Modeling (B2.3)

  • Technology Data Base
  • Working Model Framework
  • Set of Scenario assumptions

Results    Summary: Analysis of energy-transport interactions in Switzerland over the long term


Socio-economic Aspects (B2.4)

  • Map of Swiss transformation potential
  • Map of potential options & barriers
  • Transformation Framework

Results    Map of Swiss potential for transformation of mobility (full report) | Feb. 2017
               Transforming the Swiss Mobility System towards sustainability (working paper) | July 2017

                          
Top-down vision of future Swiss transport & mobility (B2.5)

  • Top-down vision

Results    Towards an Energy Efficient and Climate Compatible Future Swiss Transportation System
               
(full report) | May 2017
                Auf dem Weg zu einem energie-effizienten und klimafreundlichen Schweizer Mobilitätssystem
                (white paper) | September 2017

Development and large-scale testing of smartphone applications aimed at tracking mobility patterns and nudging behavior change

  • Updated functionalities of the GoEco! (advanced social interactions, new means of transport and extrinsic motivation elements) – updated software and documentation [12, 2018]
  • Assessment of long-term living-lab experiments. Analysis of effectiveness and barriers for large-scale exploitation of ICT tools favoring less car-dependent lifestyles through user awareness and social interactions [12, 2020]


Socio-economic system transformation

  • Comprehensive summary of transformation interventions and measures ready [9, 2018]
  • Report and presentation (start dissemination) of a transformation framework with guiding principles and best-practice for transformation addressing the stakeholder process [12, 2018]
  • Empirical analysis on changes of lifestyle and society complete [6, 2020]
  • Publication of final results about Swiss transformation typology with future relevant socio-economic developments linking the supply and demand of mobility [12, 2020]


Investor and consumer acceptance of electric mobility

  • Public workshop on investment decisions in electric mobility at the St. Galler Forum for Management of Renewable Energies [6, 2019]
  • Scientific publication on interplay of rational and affective factors in the decision process to buy an electric vehicle [6, 2020]


Environmental, cost, and risk assessment of future technologies

  • Review CA A1-A3 results from phase I and complementary literature in order to expand the data sets to be used in B2.2 analysis [9, 2017]
  • First estimates of external costs of mobility, complete internal report transferring data for new mobility datasets to the technology assessment group [9, 2018]
  • Accordingly to M1 and M2, extension of mobility datasets to include future technology development [12, 2018]
  • Final report on external costs of mobility (accidents, pollution, occupation of space, congestion, noise, etc.) [6, 2019]
  • Final report integrating results of analysis of core technological advancements within 2nd phase of SCCER Mobility [12, 2019]

 


Trade-offs sustainability analysis employing multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA)

  • Sustainability indicator database [9, 2019]
  • Completion of MCDA tool [12, 2019]
  • Report on total costs of mobility [3, 2020]
  • Final sustainability assessment report [12, 2020]


Extend methodologies for energy system modelling

  • Working version of STEM model with the non-car fleet [3, 2019]
  • Technology database (internal deliverable) [6, 2019]


Apply whole energy system model for long-term mobility scenario analysis

  • Description of mobility scenarios and finalization of key scenario assumptions [12, 2018]
  • Analytical results of integrated mobility scenarios [3, 2020]

Swiss TIMES Energy system Model (STEM) for transition scenario analysis

The Swiss TIMES Energy system Model (STEM) allows analyzing interactions between the energy and transport sector in Switzerland long term. The model evaluates car fleet scenarios with different shares of drivetrain technologies (internal combustion engine, hybrid, battery electric and fuel cells) with respect to their greenhouse gas emissions.

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Mobility and the energiewende: an environmental and economic life cycle assessment of the Swiss transport sector including developments until 2050

This dissertation is embedded in the Swiss Competence Center for Energy Research (SCCER) Mobility project, which aims to develop and assess technologies that will help to reduce the energy consumption and environmental impacts of transportation technologies (SCCER Mobility 2014). In particular, Brian Cox will contribute to work packages B2.1 “Drivetrain Technology and Fleet Scenario Analysis” and B2.2 “Transportation Impact Analysis”. Research Plan


Master Thesis

Environmental and economic assessment of current and future freight transport systems by road and rail in Switzerland: Ligen Y., Technology Assessment Group, Laboratory for Energy System Analysis Paul Scherrer Institute, Supervisors: Bauer C., Cox B., 2015   PDF

Life cycle assessment of current and future passenger air transport in Switzerland: Jemiolo W., Technology Assessment Group, Laboratory for Energy System Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, Supervisor: Cox B., Tutor: Solvoll G., 2015   PDF