Drivetrain Technology & Fleet Scenario Analysis (B2.1)

• Test of simulation framework
• Apply results to current Swiss fleet
  
  

Transport Impact Assessment (B2.2)

• Selection of representative performance indicators
• Small-scale test case
• Full indicator set for current technologies

Results    Indicators for technology performance

Energy-Economic Modeling (B2.3)

• Technology Data Base
• Working Model Framework
• Set of Scenario assumptions

Results    Summary: Analysis of energy-transport interactions in Switzerland over the long term

Socio-economic Aspects (B2.4)

• Map of Swiss transformation potential
• Map of potential options & barriers
• Transformation Framework

Results    Map of Swiss potential for transformation of mobility (full report) | Feb. 2017
               Transforming the Swiss Mobility System towards sustainability (working paper) | July 2017

                          
Top-down vision of future Swiss transport & mobility (B2.5)

• Top-down vision

Results    Towards an Energy Efficient and Climate Compatible Future Swiss Transportation System
                (full report) | May 2017
                Auf dem Weg zu einem energie-effizienten und klimafreundlichen Schweizer Mobilitätssystem
                (white paper) | September 2017

Development and large-scale testing of smartphone applications aimed at tracking mobility patterns and nudging behavior change

• Updated functionalities of the GoEco! (advanced social interactions, new means of transport and extrinsic motivation elements) – updated software and documentation [12, 2018]
• Assessment of long-term living-lab experiments. Analysis of effectiveness and barriers for large-scale exploitation of ICT tools favoring less car-dependent lifestyles through user awareness and social interactions [12, 2020]

Socio-economic system transformation

• Comprehensive summary of transformation interventions and measures ready [9, 2018]
• Report and presentation (start dissemination) of a transformation framework with guiding principles and best-practice for transformation addressing the stakeholder process [12, 2018]
• Empirical analysis on changes of lifestyle and society complete [6, 2020]
• Publication of final results about Swiss transformation typology with future relevant socio-economic developments linking the supply and demand of mobility [12, 2020]

Investor and consumer acceptance of electric mobility

• Public workshop on investment decisions in electric mobility at the St. Galler Forum for Management of Renewable Energies [6, 2019]
• Scientific publication on interplay of rational and affective factors in the decision process to buy an electric vehicle [6, 2020]

Environmental, cost, and risk assessment of future technologies

• Review CA A1-A3 results from phase I and complementary literature in order to expand the data sets to be used in B2.2 analysis [9, 2017]
• First estimates of external costs of mobility, complete internal report transferring data for new mobility datasets to the technology assessment group [9, 2018]
• Accordingly to M1 and M2, extension of mobility datasets to include future technology development [12, 2018]
• Final report on external costs of mobility (accidents, pollution, occupation of space, congestion, noise, etc.) [6, 2019]
• Final report integrating results of analysis of core technological advancements within 2nd phase of SCCER Mobility [12, 2019]

 
Trade-offs sustainability analysis employing multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA)

• Sustainability indicator database [9, 2019]
• Completion of MCDA tool [12, 2019]
• Report on total costs of mobility [3, 2020]
• Final sustainability assessment report [12, 2020]

Extend methodologies for energy system modelling

• Working version of STEM model with the non-car fleet [3, 2019]
• Technology database (internal deliverable) [6, 2019]

Apply whole energy system model for long-term mobility scenario analysis

• Description of mobility scenarios and finalization of key scenario assumptions [12, 2018]
• Analytical results of integrated mobility scenarios [3, 2020]

Potentials, costs and environmental assessment of electricity generation technologies

Research at PSI supported this comprehensive report, which was released by the Swiss Federal Office of Energy (SFOE) in November 2017. It was also supported by SCCER SoE and SCCER BIOSWEET. The report is supposed to serve as a technological basis for the Swiss Energy Perspectives and for monitoring technology development.

Synthesis

Full report

Contact: Stefan Hirschberg

Swiss TIMES Energy system Model (STEM) for transition scenario analysis

The Swiss TIMES Energy system Model (STEM) allows analyzing interactions between the energy and transport sector in Switzerland long term. The model evaluates car fleet scenarios with different shares of drivetrain technologies (internal combustion engine, hybrid, battery electric and fuel cells) with respect to their greenhouse gas emissions.

For more information contact or visit:

• Kannan Ramachandran
• www.psi.ch/eem/stem
• www.psi.ch/eem/sccer-mobility
• www.psi.ch/eem/energy-scenarios

Mobility and the energiewende: an environmental and economic life cycle assessment of the Swiss transport sector including developments until 2050

This dissertation is embedded in the Swiss Competence Center for Energy Research (SCCER) Mobility project, which aims to develop and assess technologies that will help to reduce the energy consumption and environmental impacts of transportation technologies (SCCER Mobility 2014). In particular, Brian Cox will contribute to work packages B2.1 “Drivetrain Technology and Fleet Scenario Analysis” and B2.2 “Transportation Impact Analysis”. Research Plan

Master Thesis

Environmental and economic assessment of current and future freight transport systems by road and rail in Switzerland: Ligen Y., Technology Assessment Group, Laboratory for Energy System Analysis Paul Scherrer Institute, Supervisors: Bauer C., Cox B., 2015   PDF

Life cycle assessment of current and future passenger air transport in Switzerland: Jemiolo W., Technology Assessment Group, Laboratory for Energy System Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, Supervisor: Cox B., Tutor: Solvoll G., 2015   PDF

2020

Antonini, C., Treyer, K., Streb, A., van der Spek, M., Bauer, C., & Mazzotti, M. (2020). Hydrogen production from natural gas and biomethane with carbon capture and storage - A techno-environmental analysis. Sustainable Energy and Fuels, 4(6), 2967–2986. https://doi.org/10.1039/d0se00222d

Cellina, F., Castri, R., Simão, J. V., & Granato, P. (2020). Co-creating app-based policy measures for mobility behavior change: A trigger for novel governance practices at the urban level. Sustainable Cities and Society, 53, 101911. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2019.101911

Cox, B., Bauer, C., Mendoza Beltran, A., van Vuuren, D. P., & Mutel, C. L. (2020). Life cycle environmental and cost comparison of current and future passenger cars under different energy scenarios. Applied Energy, 269, 115021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115021

Dällenbach, N. (2020). Low-carbon travel mode choices: The role of time perceptions and familiarity. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 86, 102378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102378

Hoerler, R., Stünzi, A., Patt, A., & Del Duce, A. (2020). What are the factors and needs promoting mobility-as-a-service? Findings from the Swiss Household Energy Demand Survey (SHEDS). European Transport Research Review, 12(1), 27. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-020-00412-y

Hoerler, R., Trachsel, T., & Duce, A. Del. (2020). The fear of urban sprawl through autonomous vehicles in commuting - a segmentation analysis of the Swiss population. 2020 Forum on Integrated and Sustainable Transportation Systems (FISTS), 64–69. https://doi.org/10.1109/FISTS46898.2020.9264842

Plananska, J. (2020). Touchpoints for electric mobility: Investigating the purchase process for promoting sales of electric vehicles in Switzerland. Energy Research and Social Science, 69, 101745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2020.101745

Simao, J. V., Cellina, F., & Rudel, R. (2020, November 2). Critical barriers precluding the electrification of road public transport in Southern Switzerland. 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1109/ever48776.2020.9242949

Slob, A., Olivadese, R., Abad, A. V., Beianu, E., Brouwer, J., Brunelle, T., … Willemsation, M. (2020). Research and Innovation Agenda. Retrieved December 3, 2020, from DEEDS Research & Innovation Agenda website: https://deeds.eu/results/ri_agenda/

Stoiber, T., & Hoerler, R. (2020). Drivers for utilizing pooled-use automated vehicles— empirical insights from Switzerland. 2020 Forum on Integrated and Sustainable Transportation Systems (FISTS), 114–120. https://doi.org/10.1109/FISTS46898.2020.9264900

Velazquez, A., Pietzcker, R., Siskos, P., Luh, S., & Kannan, R. (2020). Research and Innovation Needs to Decarbonise the Transport Sector. DEEDS Policy Brief Transport. Retrieved from https://deeds.eu/results/deeds-policy-brief-transport-2/

Zhang, X., Witte, J., Schildhauer, T., & Bauer, C. (2020). Life cycle assessment of power-to-gas with biogas as the carbon source. Sustainable Energy and Fuels, 4(3), 1427–1436. https://doi.org/10.1039/c9se00986h

2019

Bucher, D., Mangili, F., Cellina, F., Bonesana, C., Jonietz, D., & Raubal, M. (2019). From location tracking to personalized eco-feedback: A framework for geographic information collection, processing and visualization to promote sustainable mobility behaviors. Travel Behaviour and Society, 14, 43–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tbs.2018.09.005

Cellina, F., Bucher, D., Mangili, F., Veiga Simão, J., Rudel, R., & Raubal, M. (2019). A Large Scale, App-Based Behaviour Change Experiment Persuading Sustainable Mobility Patterns: Methods, Results and Lessons Learnt. Sustainability, 11(9), 2674. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11092674

Cellina, F., Bucher, D., Veiga Simão, J., Rudel, R., & Raubal, M. (2019). Beyond Limitations of Current Behaviour Change Apps for Sustainable Mobility: Insights from a User-Centered Design and Evaluation Process. Sustainability, 11(8), 2281. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11082281

Cousse, J., & Wüstenhagen, R. (2019). 9th Consumer Barometer of Renewable Energy. https://iwoe.unisg.ch/en/lehrstuhlmanagementee/publikationen/kundenbarometer

Fraternali, P., Cellina, F., Herrera Gonzales, S. L., Melenhorst, M., Novak, J., Pasini, C., … Rizzoli, A. E. (2019). Visualizing and gamifying consumption data for resource saving: challenges, lessons learnt and a research agenda for the future. Energy Informatics, 2(S1), 22. https://doi.org/10.1186/s42162-019-0093-z

Landis, F., Marcucci, A., Rausch, S., Kannan, R., & Bretschger, L. (2019). Multi-model comparison of Swiss decarbonization scenarios. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 155(1), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41937-019-0040-8

Mutel, C., Liao, X., Patouillard, L., Bare, J., Fantke, P., Frischknecht, R., Hauschild, M., Jolliet, O., Maia de Souza, D., Laurent, A., Pfister, S., & Verones, F. (2019). Overview and recommendations for regionalized life cycle impact assessment. International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 24(5), 856–865. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-018-1539-4

Vandepaer, L., Treyer, K., Mutel, C., Bauer, C., & Amor, B. (2019). The integration of long-term marginal electricity supply mixes in the ecoinvent consequential database version 3.4 and examination of modeling choices. International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 24(8), 1409–1428. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-018-1571-4

2018

Cox, B. (2018). Mobility and the Energy Transition: A Life Cycle Assessment of Swiss Passenger Transport Technologies including Developments until 2050 [ETH Zurich]. https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/handle/20.500.11850/276298

Cox, B., Jemiolo, W., & Mutel, C. (2018). Life cycle assessment of air transportation and the Swiss commercial air transport fleet. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 58, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRD.2017.10.017

Cox, B. L., & Mutel, C. L. (2018). The environmental and cost performance of current and future motorcycles. Applied Energy, 212, 1013–1024. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.APENERGY.2017.12.100

Cox, B., Mutel, C. L., Bauer, C., Mendoza Beltran, A., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2018). Uncertain Environmental Footprint of Current and Future Battery Electric Vehicles. Environmental Science & Technology. 52(8), 4989–4995. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.8b00261

Kannan, R. (2018). Dynamics of long-term electricity demand profile: Insights from the analysis of Swiss energy systems. Energy Strategy Reviews, 22, 410–425. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2018.10.010

Kim, W., Burgherr, P., Spada, M., Lustenberger, P., Kalinina, A., & Hirschberg, S. (2018). Energy-related Severe Accident Database (ENSAD): cloud-based geospatial platform. Big Earth Data, 2(4), 368–394. https://doi.org/10.1080/20964471.2019.1586276

Kubli, M., Loock, M., & Wüstenhagen, R. (2018). The flexible prosumer: Measuring the willingness to co-create distributed flexibility. Energy Policy, 114, 540–548. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENPOL.2017.12.044

Lesage, P., Mutel, C., Schenker, U., & Margni, M. (2018). Uncertainty analysis in LCA using precalculated aggregated datasets. International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 23(11), 2248–2265. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-018-1444-x

Moser, C., Blumer, Y., & Hille, S. L. (2018). E-bike trials’ potential to promote sustained changes in car owners mobility habits. Environmental Research Letters, 13(4), 044025. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaad73

Volkart, K., Mutel, C. L., & Panos, E. (2018). Integrating life cycle assessment and energy system modelling: Methodology and application to the world energy scenarios. Sustainable Production and Consumption, 16, 121–133. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2018.07.001

2017

Mutel, C. (2017). Brightway: An open source framework for Life Cycle Assessment. The Journal of Open Source, 2(12), 236. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00236

Mutel, C. (2017). Pandarus: GIS toolkit for regionalized life cycle assessment. The Journal of Open Source Software, 2(13), 244. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00244

2016

Cellina, F., Cavadini, P., Soldini, E., Bettini, A., & Rudel, R. (2016). Sustainable Mobility Scenarios in Southern Switzerland: Insights from Early Adopters of Electric Vehicles and Mainstream Consumers. Transportation Research Procedia, 14, 2584–2593. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRPRO.2016.05.406

Kannan, R., & Hirschberg, S. (2016). Interplay between electricity and transport sectors – Integrating the Swiss car fleet and electricity system. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 94, 514–531. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TRA.2016.10.007

Steubing, B., Mutel, C., Suter, F., & Hellweg, S. (2016). Streamlining scenario analysis and optimization of key choices in value chains using a modular LCA approach. The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 21(4), 510–522. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-015-1015-3

Treyer, K., & Bauer, C. (2016). Life cycle inventories of electricity generation and power supply in version 3 of the ecoinvent database—part II: electricity markets. The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 21(9), 1255–1268. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11367-013-0694-x

2015

Bauer, C., Hofer, J., Althaus, H.-J., Del Duce, A., & Simons, A. (2015). The environmental performance of current and future passenger vehicles: Life cycle assessment based on a novel scenario analysis framework. Applied Energy, 157, 871–883. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.APENERGY.2015.01.019

Hauptman, A., Hoppe, M., & Raban, Y. (2015). Wild cards in transport. European Journal of Futures Research, 3(1), 7. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40309-015-0066-9

Simons, A., & Bauer, C. (2015). A life-cycle perspective on automotive fuel cells. Applied Energy, 157, 884–896. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.APENERGY.2015.02.049

2014

Hoppe, Merja; Christ, A. (2014). The Transformation of Transportation: Which Borders Will We Have to Cross in the Future? Global Studies Journal.

Hoppe, M. (2014). Transformation towards Sustainable Mobility: Putting Principles of Sustainability into Practice of Policy and Planning. Spaces & Flows: An International Journal.

Hoppe, M., Christ, A., Castro, A., Winter, M., & Seppänen, T.-M. (2014). Transformation in transportation? European Journal of Futures Research, 2(1), 45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40309-014-0045-6

Yazdanie, M., Noembrini, F., Dossetto, L., & Boulouchos, K. (2014). A comparative analysis of well-to-wheel primary energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions for the operation of alternative and conventional vehicles in Switzerland, considering various energy carrier production pathways. Journal of Power Sources, 249, 333–348. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JPOWSOUR.2013.10.043